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Market Insights Commentary:
Industry Insights
Next Leg Ahead: From Policy Patience to Market Rotation
U.S. Market Outlook Macro Environment Overview Inflation & Growth: Inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target. Core PCE inflation is running around ~2.8% year-on-year (September estimate), and Fed officials warn that without this year’s tariff boosts, core inflation might have been closer to ~2.3%. In fact, some policymakers are “nervous” that inflation could reaccelerate into year-end. Nonetheless, longer-run inflation expectations appear well-anchored, and pric
Nov 10, 202569 min read
Global Markets in Flux: Between Easing Cycles and Escalating Frictions
After a strong six-month rally, equities are entering a consolidation phase. The bias remains upward, but earnings and inflation data will dictate short-term direction. Government bonds could see a modest bid if inflation data softens and fiscal uncertainty persists. Given this week’s events — tariff threats, record gold prices, rising fiscal worries, and an ongoing U.S. shutdown — next week’s tone will hinge on two fronts: U.S. CPI and corporate earnings. If both surprise on
Oct 19, 202511 min read
Policy patience and the Debasement trade
Markets this week oscillated between confidence in central bank easing and fear of policy overreach. While the midweek rally rode AI and promised rate cuts, the surprise surge in tariffs and political noise pushed safe-havens higher, giving new life to the debasement trade — a rotation toward hard assets, yield plays, and defensive equity strategies. US Market Outlook & Investment Strategy Navigating Policy Easing, Trade Shock & Real-Asset Rotation U.S. equities began the wee
Oct 13, 20258 min read
Market Trends
Summary of the week - 17 Oct 25
Interest rate US: The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 25bps in September 2025 to a target range of 4.00%–4.25%, marking its first rate reduction since December 2024. The decision was largely expected, though Governor Stephen Miran dissented, preferring a larger 50bps move. Updated projections signaled an additional 75bps of easing through 2026, underscoring the Fed’s gradual pivot toward policy normalization. GDP growth forecasts were upgraded modestly through 2
Summary of the week - 10 Oct 25
Interest Rates US: The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a new target range of 4.00%–4.25% following its scheduled two-day policy meeting — a widely anticipated decision. One of twelve voting members dissented, preferring a deeper 50 bps reduction, signaling that the Committee remains divided on the pace of future easing. UK: The Bank of England voted to hold the Bank Rate steady at 4%, maintaining its restrictive stance. Policymak
Summary of the week - 5 Oct 25
Interest rate US: In September 2025, the Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of...
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